Blog Entry

Series Reset Knicks-Celtics: Garden games

Posted on: April 22, 2011 3:10 pm
Edited on: April 22, 2011 7:00 pm
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Madison Square Garden hosts its first playoff game in over five years. Will the Big Apple boys be able to kick the demons the Celtics have sicked on them in the final minutes of Game 1 and 2? 
Posted by Matt Moore




The Narrative: Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.  That's the reality of where the Knicks are at. A stellar performance by Stoudemire in Game 1 crushed by a terrible performance from Melo and a vintage Ray Allen three. A superhuman response from Melo in Game 2 without Billups or Stoudemire, vanquished by Jared Jeffries bowled over on one end, intercepted on the other. The Knicks fought so well in the first two games. And they have nothing to show for it. 

The crowd at MSG will be there. But you have to wonder about the emotional response of the Knicks. Those were two tough, tough losses to take. And versus a usual six seed who would just be happy to have shown some life and been in the conversation, New York's on a different level. The market, the city, the superstars, the expectations all mean that they're supposed to finish those games when they have the chance, even with the vagabonds they currently have in key rotation positions. Trying to get a lock on how the Knicks will come out is pretty difficult. You have to believe Stoudemire will be ready, having been in so many playoff games. Melo might be in the same boat, but he might also be checked out after doing what he did in Game 2 and having the game blown up by Jeffries electing to pass. 

The Knicks' best effort will come from riding that surge of emotion. They can't out-execute the Celtics, but if Stoudemire's back, Boston also won't be able to throw nine-hundred defenders at Melo at once. The Knicks need to get out in transition, create steals, scrap like they did in the first two games and hang on. Surrendering late leads isn't just a way to lose a game. It's a way to lose a series. Just ask Indiana. 

The Hook: You know who's been terrible? Landry Fields. Which isn't really fair to say since he's a rookie and all, and he hit the rookie wall about two months ago. Essentially, since the Melo trade, he's fallen off the map. Whether it's chemistry or lineups or balance, Fields hasn't been able to make the same kind of impact he did early in the season. Which would be something we'd excuse and move over, but as thin as the Knicks are, they need every player who could be considered "good" to contribut. Fields is 2-7 in this series with a rebound, a turnover, and a block in 35 combined minutes. He was even 0-2 at the free throw line. Fields doesn't have a great offensive repertoire and isn't any sort of speed demon. But he's got to make his presence felt somewhere. Hustle plays, easy layups, steals, blocks, somewhere. He's got to put in some sort of impact. The Knicks don't have enough players for Fields to no-show. That's just the reality of where he's at. 

The Adjustment:  Stoudemire might be back, and he killed the Celtics in Game 1. The Celtics aren't known to just accept certain guys doing damage. So they'll likely be more aggressive with STAT at the elbow and low. The elbow is Stoudemire's ISO starting position. Since the Knicks are likely without Chauncey Billups again, there isn't a ball-handler to really attack with Stoudemire in the pick and roll (and isn't that a shame). So those elbow possessions will be up should Stoudemire give it a go. Expect the Celtics to possibly back off the elbow jumper to keep Stoudemire from driving, hoping those back spasms will tighten up his release to distract him. When he does drive, expect more low help, as neither Turiaf nor Jeffries have proven they can handle, collect, or produce off the dump-off pass. 

Also expect a really healthy dose of elbows to the back of Stoudemire. If he plays, he's going to physically wish he hadn't. This is what the Celtics do. 

If the Knicks are smart, they'll force the issue with the pick and roll. Yes, the Celtics are one of the best pick and roll defensive teams in the league, and yes, the Knicks are without a capable guard to run said system. But even getting Melo as ball-handler or working with veteran guard Anthony Carter could help. Stoudemire is so good in that set, to not use him is almost criminal. 

The X-Factor: Injury, obviously. Shaq's almost definitely out. Amar'e is a gametime decision. Billups is likely out. The Celtics have a handful of scrapes and bruises, including Jermaine O'Neal's wrist, which turned him from a major influencer in Game 1 to a near-liability in Game 2. Despite this being a Mike D'Antoni team, this has been a rough and tumble series, with some good defense played on both sides. There's going to be more hammering, more contact, more bad blood. The Celtics know that Game 3 and 4 are chances for the knockout punch. They also know that losing both means less rest before facing the Heat in the semis. The Knicks know the Garden is their last stand and another suckerpunch loss will pretty much doom them and the players will start to check out mentally. With the injuries in play, this is going to come down to a battle of wills. 

And in that situation, you never, ever want to bet against the Celtics. 

The Sticking Point: The Knicks got a superb performance from Stoudemire in Game 1. They got an other-worldly response from Melo, short-handed, in Game 2. Their best hope in this series was for their star players to step up and take over the game. That happend. They still lost. The Celtics haven't shut down the Knicks' best players, but they've done enough, particularly in the last five minutes. Swagger's a cliche, but it's also got some truth to it. The Celtics know they can win, no matter what the Knicks do.

Can the Knicks find a different way to win, or are they just pretty much who they are? The Garden's waiting to find out. 
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Comments

Since: May 20, 2007
Posted on: April 22, 2011 7:16 pm
 

Series Reset Knicks-Celtics: Garden games

The Knicks may be able to win a game or two in this series with the Celtics if their two sperstars can light up at the same time.  But that would have to happen in each remaining game in this series for the Knicks to take it.  I don't see that very likely at all.  The Chauncy Billups injury is devastating for this shallow team.  And I could definitely see Amare Stoudemire going out of the game (series?) with his back spasms.  I'm pulling for the Knicks, but things just aren't looking too good at the present time.  If the Celtics smell the blood (and why wouldn't they?) this series could really get ugly.  We'll learn alot tonight about the Knicks.  However unlikely, it is possible that the Celtics are now looking beyond this series, and with the stars in proper alignment, the Knicks might pull this game out tonight.  It's much more likely the Celtics though.



Since: Sep 17, 2007
Posted on: April 22, 2011 6:49 pm
 

Series Reset Knicks-Celtics: Garden games

I agree with everything in your post, WU. The Knicks had to give up so much to acquire Carmelo and Denver deserves major credit for playing it like they did when everyone thought they'd end up with nothing after waiting so long to accomodate the trade demand. As for the Knicks, sure, they got their superstar but they essentially traded away their whole team to get him and Chauncey who is injured. Now they're shorthanded and backed into a corner. There's no way they win this series but over the next several years they're going to be a powerhouse and as a Celtics fan, I unfortunately predict an shift in the balance of power in the East, especially with 3 of Boston's 4 core players creeping up on senior citizen status. I think it's this year and maybe one more before Boston is forced to go into full blown rebuilding mode so I hope they can shock everyone like they did last year, coming within 10 minutes from a championship over LA. They'll beat the Knicks but I ain't counting on anything after that against Miami and then Chicago.



Since: Dec 11, 2006
Posted on: April 22, 2011 6:36 pm
 

Series Reset Knicks-Celtics: Garden games

While it's not quite this simple, the Knicks simply do not have enough healthy horsepower to consistently beat the Celtics.  Sure, they may pick up one or two at home, but that won't win the series.  The Celtics starting five is clearly better than the Knicks starting five.  And I'm not really sure how much of their starting five are even playing.  Chauncy Billups being out is particularly damaging to their cast of characters.  Is Amare Stoudemire really healthy?  And Carmello Anthony can and has shut down for brief periods.  And beyond the starting fives, the Knicks don't even come close to the Celtics' bench strength.  I really have trouble seeing a single Knicks' victory in this series given the circumstances.  It could happen if the Celtics have a really off night, but that's really difficult to predict.  The Knicks are really one starter and a bench away from being the calibre of the Celtics.  And that's certainly not anything against Amare and Melo.  Regardless of what ends up happening in New York, the Celtics have this series wrapped up if they simply take care of business.  The Celtics have alot of horsepower at all positions, and they have it on the bench.  New York is at least one seson away from completing the final composition of their complete team.  What a great future they have.


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